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Colorado State

Colorado State University · 2026 · Pac-12

Efficiency
-6.7
97th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
8th
proj. of 8
Colorado State Fanboard →

Colorado State is 2-0 and ranked 97th in overall efficiency. Their 65th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by an 116th-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 35th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 38th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+1 left
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
0-0
+3 left
Q4
2-0
+3 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Expected: 4.9 wins
Strength of Record
51st
+0.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
137th
full season
74th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
42nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs WyomingMountain West#132W 3513+15.3100%0.6Q4
2vs Southern UtahBig SkyW 5824+23.5100%-5.0Q4
3vs BYUBig 12#19Preview-18.414%Q1
4@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#42Preview-15.618%Q2
5vs Oregon StatePac-12#83Preview-0.449%Q4
7@ Texas StatePac-12#89Preview-4.140%Q3
8vs San Diego StatePac-12#64Preview-4.739%Q4
9@ Utah StatePac-12#92Preview-3.442%Q4
10vs Boise StatePac-12#32Preview-13.322%Q2
11@ Washington StatePac-12#63Preview-10.327%Q3
12@ Fresno StatePac-12#79Preview-6.435%Q3

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Colorado State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.8-5.6-0.41-5Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 35th
SR 53rdYPP 49thEPA 24th
RushingEff 38th
SR 74thYPP 16thEPA 40th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 107th
SR 109thYPP 128thEPA 93rd
Rush defenseEff 124th
SR 111thYPP 126thEPA 126th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo -0.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 102nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 52%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 52%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 30%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 24.0Q1 · Allowed: 10.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 38.0Q2 · Allowed: 17.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 10.0Q3 · Allowed: 7.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 21.0Q4 · Allowed: 3.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledColorado StateOffenseDefense
Colorado State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 65th
+0.4
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: +0.5
Field position -0.1Finishing drives +0.5= +0.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 68th · Finishing 66th

Defensive EffRanked 116th
-6.2
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -6.5
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -6.5= -6.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 57th · Finishing 121st

3.58 points per drive on offense, 1.48 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 35.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(32)66% / 34%53%8.5
Q2(46)61% / 39%48%8.9
Q3(17)47% / 53%47%7.5
Q4(41)37% / 63%46%6.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)10.648%6.7
2nd(30)8.957%10.8
3rd(17)7.241%7.6
4th(2)3.550%3.5
All (72)50%8.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(34)9.541%5.5
2nd(16)6.544%13.9
3rd(13)4.262%3.5
4th(1)2.0100%5.0
All (64)47%7.2

Colorado State, all games.